2016 has seen quite a few political shakeups and the economy has been suffering the aftershocks. The gas and oil market have been slightly flailing, with some companies stripping down to the minimum or moving out entirely hence the pickup for new industrial units or renewal of older leases have been lesser than optimal.
In Singapore, industrial property prices and rental demand have declined in the third quarter, in particular sites or units with 30- and 60-year leases. Following the recent Trump win in the US elections, global uncertainty continues as countries question what future moves the newly elected US president in terms of trade agreements. With one of the most fast-moving industries of late begin e-commerce, which may not require as much space as manufacturing, storage and smaller boutique spaces could be the next wave.
Economic analysts say that global trade needs some rejuvenating or the industrial and warehousing sectors may continue to decline. Freehold industrial developments saw the smallest fall in prices of 1.4 per cent while 60-year leases fell 4.7 per cent and 30-year leases, 2.1 per cent. Rental demand is lower than supply and it continues to be a tenants’ market.
The only plus is the increase in interest in business park units, with rents expected to increase by 3 to 5 per cent next year. The International Business Park in Jurong East has seen a rise in average monthly rent of $0.10 psf with 25 leases signed in Q3 alone.
In the industrial sales market however, fewer industrial properties exchanged hands as most companies are holding back their expansion plans in lieu of the economic slowdown. Property analysts are expecting a further 5 per cent dip in industrial rents come end of 2016.